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Padel Business in the USA: The $6 Billion Opportunity

January 20, 20269 min read

The US padel market grew 51% year-over-year to 688 courts in 2025. That's still just 2 courts per million people — compared to Spain's 324 per million. The gap is the opportunity.

Market Size and Growth

  • 688 courts across the US (2025), up from ~450 in 2024
  • 51% YoY growth — fastest of any major market
  • $6 billion projected market value by 2030 (industry estimates)
  • Reserve Padel — 15 courts at SoLe Mia (Miami), running 70%+ occupancy at $72/hr
  • Cube Padel — expanding in Texas with a franchise model
  • Conquer Padel — franchise model, $1.1-3M total investment

    • Why the US Is Different

    American padel clubs operate in a unique environment:

  • Higher labor costs: Budget 25-40% more for staffing vs European/Middle East markets
  • Real estate competition: Warehouse/industrial space is contested by logistics and tech companies
  • Permit complexity: Varies dramatically by municipality — from 4 weeks (Florida) to 6+ months (California)
  • Insurance requirements: General liability, workers comp, and sports-specific coverage — $15K-$30K annually
  • No established player ecosystem: Most members are beginners, so coaching revenue opportunity is massive (20%+ of total vs global average 15%)

    • Top US Markets

    CityCourtsPrice/hrDemandOpportunity

    |------|--------|----------|--------|-------------|

    Miami120+$60-100Very HighGrowing, premium positions available
    New York40+$80-120HighUnderserved for population size
    Los Angeles35+$60-90HighEarly stage, massive potential
    Dallas/Houston50+$50-80GrowingCube Padel proving the model
    Chicago15+$60-80EmergingIndoor-only market, first-mover advantage

    US-Specific Costs

    Court structures cost 15-25% more in the US due to labor and import duties. PadelBox (MejorSet's North American distributor) quotes $30K-$60K per court including installation. Foundation work runs $8K-$15K per court. Total per-court investment: $50K-$85K.

    A standard 6-court hybrid club in a major US city: $700K-$1.2M total investment including site work, courts, facility buildout, and 6 months working capital.

    The Franchise Question

    Should you franchise or go independent?

  • Conquer Padel franchise: $1.1-3M investment, brand recognition, operational playbook, but franchise fees and less control
  • Independent: $600K-$1.2M investment, full control, higher margins, but you build everything yourself
  • Verdict: If you have padel or sports facility experience, go independent. If you're new to the industry, a franchise de-risks the operations side.

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